MLB Bets: Top Picks for Monday, April 6

Expert analysis and player prop bets for today's loaded MLB schedule

Apr. 6, 2026 at 6:38pm

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A fragmented, geometric painting depicting various baseball actions and players in a cubist style, using the team colors mentioned in the story to represent the different matchups.A cubist interpretation of the key player prop bets highlighted in this MLB betting preview.Los Angeles Today

Sports betting analyst Juan Pablo Aravena provides his top MLB player prop bets and predictions for Monday's 13-game slate, including a look at Freddie Freeman's home run odds against the Dodgers, Yordan Alvarez's total bases prop versus the Rockies, and Logan Gilbert's strikeout line against the Rangers.

Why it matters

With the MLB season in full swing, bettors are looking for any edge they can get when making wagers on the day's games. This expert analysis provides valuable insights and recommendations to help fans make informed bets and potentially cash in on favorable odds.

The details

For the Dodgers-Blue Jays matchup, Aravena likes Freddie Freeman's chances to hit a home run at +412 odds on DraftKings. Freeman has had success against Dodgers starter Max Scherzer in the past, and he's been swinging a hot bat lately. In the Astros-Rockies game, the analyst is targeting Yordan Alvarez to record over 1.5 total bases at -102 on Caesars. Alvarez has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball to start the season, and Coors Field should provide a hitter-friendly environment. Finally, for the Mariners-Rangers matchup, Aravena is taking Logan Gilbert to stay under 6.5 strikeouts at -138 on FanDuel, as the young right-hander has shown some early-season control issues.

  • The MLB games referenced in this story will take place on Monday, April 6, 2026.

The players

Freddie Freeman

A veteran first baseman for the Los Angeles Dodgers who has had success against opposing pitcher Max Scherzer in the past.

Yordan Alvarez

A star slugger for the Houston Astros who has been one of the hottest hitters in baseball to start the 2026 season.

Logan Gilbert

A young right-handed pitcher for the Seattle Mariners who has shown some early-season control issues.

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What they’re saying

“Freeman has had good results against Max Scherzer throughout his career, and considering that Scherzer is no longer the dominant pitcher he once was, Freeman's productive history against "Mad Max" is worth highlighting.”

— Juan Pablo Aravena, Sports Betting Analyst

“It wouldn't be a stretch to say Alvarez has been one of the hottest hitters to open the 2026 MLB season. The star slugger owns a 1.478 OPS across 45 plate appearances after going 1-for-4 with a two-run home run and two walks in Sunday's 12-10 loss to the Athletics.”

— Juan Pablo Aravena, Sports Betting Analyst

“Gilbert has limited current Rangers players to a .185 batting average, but the fact that he's been far from efficient so far in 2026 suggests he might stay below the line of 6.5 punchouts for a second consecutive start.”

— Juan Pablo Aravena, Sports Betting Analyst

What’s next

Bettors should monitor the latest injury news and lineup information ahead of Monday's games, as that could impact the player prop bets highlighted in this analysis.

The takeaway

This expert breakdown provides valuable insights and recommendations for MLB bettors looking to cash in on favorable odds for player props in Monday's packed slate of games. The analysis highlights key trends and matchup advantages that could lead to profitable wagers.