Oregon Football Projected for 10.5 Wins in 2026

Ducks favored to return to conference title game in second Big Ten season

Mar. 31, 2026 at 9:05am

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As the Oregon football program prepares for its fifth season under head coach Dan Lanning, the Ducks are projected to win 10.5 games in the 2026 season, tying them with Indiana as the Big Ten favorites to reach the conference championship game.

Why it matters

Oregon has emerged as a consistent College Football Playoff contender since joining the Big Ten, and expectations remain high for the Ducks to compete for a national title in 2026 with a veteran roster led by star quarterback Dante Moore.

The details

The Ducks' 10.5-win projection puts them slightly ahead of Ohio State and Penn State, who both have 9.5-win lines. No SEC team currently has a double-digit win projection. Oregon's schedule features a tough stretch with road games at Ohio State and Michigan, as well as home matchups against the Wolverines and Washington to close the regular season.

  • Oregon's Spring Game is scheduled for this year.
  • The Ducks open the 2026 season on September 26 at USC.

The players

Dan Lanning

Oregon's head football coach, entering his fifth season with the program.

Dante Moore

Oregon's star quarterback, who is expected to contend for the Heisman Trophy in 2026 after a standout first season as the starter.

Evan Stewart

Oregon's superstar wide receiver, who missed the entire 2025-2026 season but is set to return in 2026.

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What they’re saying

“This team not only reloaded by recruiting top-tier talent that can contribute right away, but they also retained the most important pieces they needed to repeat as a legitimate College Football Playoff contender.”

— Alex Heining, FishDuck.com writer

What’s next

The Ducks' Spring Game should provide a preview of what's to come in 2026, as Oregon looks to build on its success and compete for a national championship.

The takeaway

With a veteran roster led by Dante Moore and a schedule that features tough matchups against Ohio State and Michigan, Oregon is poised to be a top contender in the Big Ten and the College Football Playoff in 2026.