Soaring Oil Prices Lift Airfares Ahead of Summer Travel

Airlines warn of potential bankruptcies as jet fuel costs surge amid ongoing Iran conflict

Mar. 29, 2026 at 6:19pm

As the war in Iran continues to drive up global oil prices, airlines across the world are facing skyrocketing jet fuel costs that are forcing them to pass on the increased expenses to consumers in the form of higher airfares. Industry leaders warn that some airlines may even go out of business if oil prices remain at current elevated levels around $100 per barrel.

Why it matters

The rise in airfares will price some travelers out of the market, potentially dampening the summer travel season and dealing a blow to the broader tourism industry. It also raises concerns about the long-term viability of some airlines if they are unable to offset the fuel cost increases.

The details

United Airlines CEO Scott Kirby stated that his company could face an $11 billion loss if oil prices stay at current highs, and that United's airfares could increase by as much as 20 percent. With airlines already operating on thin profit margins, they have little choice but to pass the surging jet fuel costs directly to consumers through higher ticket prices.

  • The United States and Israel began bombing Iran late last month, triggering the spike in global oil prices.
  • Kirby's comments about United's potential $11 billion loss and 20% airfare hikes were made last week.

The players

Scott Kirby

The Chief Executive Officer of United Airlines.

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What they’re saying

“United Airlines could face an $11 billion loss if oil prices remain at their current levels.”

— Scott Kirby, Chief Executive Officer

“United's airfares could increase by 20 percent.”

— Scott Kirby, Chief Executive Officer

What’s next

Industry analysts will be closely monitoring airline earnings reports in the coming months to see the full financial impact of the surging fuel costs. Consumers should expect to pay significantly more for summer flights, and some airlines may be forced to cut routes or even declare bankruptcy if the oil price spike persists.

The takeaway

The ongoing conflict in Iran is having a direct and painful impact on travelers, as airlines have little choice but to pass along their skyrocketing fuel expenses in the form of higher airfares. This could price some would-be flyers out of the market, dealing a blow to the broader travel and tourism industry.