Republican Steve Hilton leads in California governor's race, poll shows

Hilton edges out Democrats Porter and Swalwell, as well as GOP rival Bianco, in new PPIC survey

Published on Feb. 26, 2026

A new poll from the Public Policy Institute of California shows Republican Steve Hilton leading the crowded field of candidates in the California governor's race, with 14% support among likely voters. Hilton, a former Fox News commentator, is followed by Democrats Katie Porter (13%) and Eric Swalwell (11%), as well as Republican Riverside County Sheriff Chad Bianco (12%).

Why it matters

The California governor's race is shaping up to be a closely contested election, with voters expressing deep frustration over the direction of the state and prioritizing issues like the cost of living and inflation. The 'top-two' primary system means the final race could feature two candidates from the same party, potentially shutting out other political parties from the November ballot.

The details

The poll, conducted by the Public Policy Institute of California, asked likely voters, 'If the June primary for governor were being held today, who would you vote for?' Hilton, the British-born former Fox News commentator, led the field with 14% support, followed by Porter (13%), Bianco (12%), Swalwell (11%), and billionaire Tom Steyer (10%). California uses a 'top-two' primary system, where the two candidates with the most votes advance to the general election, regardless of party affiliation.

  • The poll was conducted in late February 2026.

The players

Steve Hilton

A Republican candidate for California governor and former Fox News commentator.

Katie Porter

A Democratic candidate for California governor.

Chad Bianco

A Republican candidate for California governor and the Riverside County Sheriff.

Eric Swalwell

A Democratic candidate for California governor.

Tom Steyer

A Democratic candidate for California governor and billionaire.

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What’s next

The California primary election is scheduled for June 2026, and the general election will follow in November.

The takeaway

The California governor's race is shaping up to be a highly competitive contest, with voters focused on issues like the cost of living and inflation. The 'top-two' primary system means the final race could feature two candidates from the same party, potentially shutting out other political parties from the November ballot.