Odds Favor Hole-in-One on No. 16 at WM Phoenix Open

The iconic par-3 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale is expected to see another ace during the 2026 tournament.

Feb. 3, 2026 at 9:15am

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The WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale is known for its lively atmosphere, especially at the par-3 16th hole. This year, oddsmakers are predicting a high likelihood of a hole-in-one on the 16th, with several players having strong odds to make an ace. Past champions like Tony Finau and Tom Kim are among the favorites, while up-and-coming stars like Cameron Young and Adam Schenk could also contend. The tournament is expected to come down to the wire, with the majority of recent editions decided by two shots or less, often requiring a playoff.

Why it matters

The WM Phoenix Open is one of the most anticipated events on the PGA Tour, drawing huge crowds and a lively atmosphere, especially at the iconic 16th hole. A hole-in-one on this par-3 would electrify the crowd and potentially shift the outcome of the tournament. Additionally, the close finishes in recent years suggest the 2026 edition could come down to the wire, making for an exciting conclusion to the event.

The details

Several players are favored to make a hole-in-one on the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale. Tony Finau, who made an ace on the 16th last week at Torrey Pines, is listed at +350 odds to repeat the feat. Other top contenders include two-time Las Vegas winner Tom Kim (+335) and rising star Cameron Young (+2050), who has played well at TPC Scottsdale in recent years. Adam Schenk (+106), fresh off his first PGA Tour win, is also expected to contend after posting strong results at the course in the past.

  • The WM Phoenix Open will take place from February 6-9, 2026.
  • Tony Finau made a hole-in-one on the 16th hole at Torrey Pines last week.

The players

Tony Finau

A PGA Tour veteran who has won twice on Tour, including the 2020 WM Phoenix Open in a playoff. Finau is listed at +350 odds to make a hole-in-one on the 16th hole at TPC Scottsdale.

Tom Kim

A two-time winner in the Las Vegas desert, Kim is making his fourth consecutive start at the WM Phoenix Open and is listed at +335 odds to make a hole-in-one on the 16th hole.

Cameron Young

A rising star on the PGA Tour, Young has played well at TPC Scottsdale in recent years and is listed at +2050 odds to make a hole-in-one on the 16th hole.

Adam Schenk

Fresh off his first PGA Tour victory last fall, Schenk is making his eighth consecutive start at the WM Phoenix Open and is listed at +106 odds in the 'Without Scheffler' market.

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What’s next

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The takeaway

The WM Phoenix Open is known for its electric atmosphere, especially at the iconic 16th hole. With several players favored to make a hole-in-one this year, and the tournament historically coming down to the wire, the 2026 edition is shaping up to be an exciting event that will captivate golf fans.