Heavy rain, storms could disrupt Valentine's Day plans in Arkansas

Central Arkansas braces for multiple rounds of rain and possible thunderstorms on Saturday, February 14th.

Published on Feb. 10, 2026

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A storm system is expected to bring heavy rain and the potential for thunderstorms to parts of Central Arkansas this weekend, potentially impacting Valentine's Day plans. Rain showers are forecast to develop as early as Friday, with scattered to widespread rain coverage expected throughout the day on Saturday. While the timing and intensity of any thunderstorms remains uncertain, there is a marginal risk of heavy rainfall leading to flash flooding across the state.

Why it matters

The inclement weather could cause delays, slow down travel, and force people to adjust their Valentine's Day plans. Drivers will need to be cautious of heavy rain and potential flooding on the roads. The forecast discrepancies between weather models also highlight the challenges in predicting severe weather events this far in advance.

The details

According to the forecast, rain showers will develop as early as Friday and by Saturday morning, scattered to widespread rain coverage is expected across Central Arkansas. Throughout the day on Saturday, primarily rain showers are anticipated, but a few isolated thunderstorms could also develop, particularly over southern parts of the state. The European (EURO) model is keeping thunderstorm activity mainly in Louisiana and Mississippi and has the system exiting Arkansas quicker on Saturday night, while the American (GFS) model favors stronger to severe storms developing in Arkansas on Saturday evening, with some rain showers lingering into Sunday afternoon.

  • Rain showers will develop as early as Friday for much of the state.
  • By Saturday morning, scattered to widespread rain coverage is expected across Central Arkansas.
  • Throughout the day on Saturday, primarily rain showers are anticipated, but a few isolated thunderstorms could develop, particularly over southern parts of the state.
  • The EURO model has the system exiting Arkansas quicker on Saturday night, while the GFS model favors stronger to severe storms developing in Arkansas on Saturday evening.
  • Some rain showers could linger in the state through Sunday afternoon.

The players

THV11 Weather Impact Team

The weather team at THV11, the local CBS affiliate in Little Rock, Arkansas, that is providing the forecast and weather updates for the impending storm system.

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What they’re saying

“You don't have to cancel your dinner plans, but you should plan for a rainy evening.”

— THV11 Weather Impact Team (thv11.com)

“Make sure your tires have a good tread to prevent hydroplaning and slow down, watch for ponding on roads.”

— THV11 Weather Impact Team (thv11.com)

What’s next

The THV11 Weather Impact Team will continue to monitor the situation and provide live updates on their streaming channel THV11+ throughout the week. Residents are advised to check back for the latest information as the forecast may change.

The takeaway

This storm system highlights the unpredictable nature of severe weather and the importance of being prepared for potential disruptions to Valentine's Day plans. Residents in Central Arkansas should stay vigilant, heed weather warnings, and plan accordingly to ensure their safety and minimize the impact of the inclement conditions.